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The possibility of Comcast taking over ITV has prompted concerns about the consequences on British public service broadcasting, a reality that the broadcaster's new CEO, moving from a key role at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s ad sales head, Priya Dogra, will now be expected to lead the charge to oppose her former employer’s acquisition bid to safeguard Channel 4.

The envisaged union of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a relative commercial minnow in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, fueling talk of the need to revisit some form of tie-up with the BBC for long-term survival.

Immediate Alarm: The Future of News

However, it is the possible consequences on the future of news provision that are causing the most urgent concern for many within the television industry.

The shock revelation last month that Comcast, which owns assets including Universal Studios and acquired Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, makes commercial sense. Traditional broadcasters are facing a profound survival challenge as audiences and revenues continue to decisively move to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing unease among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn acquisition of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of independence, is riddled with regulatory, political, and competition problems.

Overnight, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its extensive regional news operation—and become the biggest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a dominant share—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.

“If a deal is completed, the fate of ITN is an interesting one that will become a priority politically,” notes one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Funding Guarantees and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast promised to keep funding Sky News for a decade, upping its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that obligation draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to fully fund Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to operate at a deficit of as much as £80m.

It is believed that any deal to buy ITV would include assurances not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to vary the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes obligations to national and regional news.

“There are certainly questions about plurality,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to gain influence... I would hope Comcast appreciate ways of solving these problems.”

An Endangered Model

British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being taken over by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “at-risk model” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had surpassed ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

The Need for Unity

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the context of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, indicates the need for closer cooperation between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK must have its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a national strategic imperative. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that obligates them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming giant, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

Competition Hurdles

Any deal will trigger an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will expand the view of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get passed,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

The Precarious Position of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a inherent financial issue,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly beaten the predictions, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to reach its limits.”

The continuing debate highlights a larger conundrum for British media: how to preserve a independent voice and a healthy public service ecosystem in an increasingly globalised and digitally dominated landscape.